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实测“大数据杀熟”传言:啥时买机票最便宜并无规律

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  原标题:实测“大数据杀熟”传言:啥时买机票最便宜并无规律,日前,作家王小山的一篇怀疑被互联网订票网站“大数据杀熟”的再次引起热议,尽管网站及时出面澄清,不少网友依旧对价格波动较大的机票表示不满,机票价格变化如此之快,真的不是航空公司在捣鬼?

实测“大数据杀熟”传言:啥时买机票最便宜并无规律


同一时间段OTA网站机票价格 注:括号中为转机次数

  RIQIAN,ZUOJIAWANGXIAOSHANDEYIPIANHUAIYIBEIHULIANWANGDINGPIAOWANGZHAN“DASHUJUSHASHU”DEZAICIYINQIREYI,JINGUANWANGZHANJISHICHUMIANCHENGQING,BUSHAOWANGYOUYIJIUDUIJIAGEBODONGJIAODADEJIPIAOBIAOSHIBUMAN,JIPIAOJIAGEBIANHUARUCIZHIKUAI,ZHENDEBUSHIHANGKONGGONGSIZAIDAOGUI?JIAZHIQIANBUJIU,YIPIAN“JIPIAOBANYEMAI,BUYAOFENGKUANGSOU”DEWEIBOBEIXUDUOWANGYOUZHUANFAPINGLUN,“SOUYICIZHANGJIAYICI”“BANYEYIKANJIANGJIALE”DENGSHUOFAGENGSHIYINFATAOLUN:JIPIAOJIAGEDAODISHENMESHIHOUZUIDI?SHIBUSHIZHENDECUNZAI“YUESOUSUOYUEGUI”“DASHUJUSHASHU”DENGQINGKUANG?DUICI,BEIJINGQINGNIANBAOCAIJINGSHIYANSHIJINXINGLESHIYAN。

  SHIYAN

  WANGCHUANSHUOFADADUOBINGBUZHENGQUE

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  DIAOCHAFAXIAN,LINGCHENMAIJIPIAOBIANYI、ZAOSHANGMAIJIPIAOBIANYI、JIPIAOYUEZAOMAIYUEBIANYI、YUESOUJIAGEYUEGUIDENGSHUOFADOUBUWANQUANZHENGQUE。

  LINGCHENMAIJIPIAO

  YOUSHIFANERGUI

  实验证明,凌晨买机票有时能便宜,但大多数时候并不能;不同平台、不同航班的情况都不相同,需要区别讨论。

  ZAIBEIQINGBAOJIZHESHIYANDELIANGTIANWUGEPINGTAIZHONG,MEITUANWANG10RI24DIANCONGBEIJINGDAOCHENGDOUDEJIPIAOWEIQUANTIANZUIDIJIA650YUAN,SHANGXIAWUJIAGEWEI678YUAN,MEITUANWANGLIMADAOBUYINUOSIAILISIDELINGCHENJIPIAOJIAGEYEWEIQUANTIANZUIDI,ZHIFEIHANGBANJIAGEWEI5170YUAN,SHANGXIAWUZHIFEIHANGBANWEI5234YUAN,TONGHANGXIANZAILINGCHENSHIHAICHUXIANLE1774YUANDEDIJIAJIPIAO,BUGUOGAIJIAGEWEIZHUANJILIANGCIDEHANGBAN,SHANGXIAWUZHUANJIYICIHANGBANDEZUIDIJIAGEWEI3446YUANHE3434YUAN。

  MAFENGWO10RICHAXUNBEIJINGDAOCHENGDOUDEJIAGE,LINGCHENBISHANGXIAWUBIANYILE2YUAN,CONG692YUANJIANGWEI690YUAN,BEIJINGDAOBUYINUOSIAILISIDEJIAGE,LINGCHENDEHANGBANZUIBIANYI,YOU4493YUANDE,SHANGXIAWUZUIDIJIAGEJIPIAOFENBIEWEI4605YUANHE4502YUAN。

  DANYEYOULINGCHENMAIFANERGUIDELIZI。BIRU10RICHAXUNXIECHENGWANGBEIJINGZHICHENGDOUDEJIPIAO,LINGCHENSHOUJIA709YUAN,GAOYUSHANGXIAWUDE695YUANHE696YUAN;BEIJINGZHIBUYINUOSIAILISIDEZUIDIJIPIAOJIAGEYEBISHANGXIAWUDE4880YUANHE4975YUANGAO,WEI4990YUAN;12RICHAXUNDELIMAZHIBUYINUOSIAILISIDEZHIFEIHANGBANZUIDIJIAGEWEI5119YUAN,YUANGAOYUQITASHIJIANDIANZHIFEI2125YUANDEJIAGE。

  “YUESOUSUOYUEGUI”DESHUOFABINGBUCHENGLI

  ZAIBEIQINGBAOJIZHEDIAOCHADESHIJIANNEI,GONGSOUSUOJIPIAOCHAOGUO200CI,YUANGAOYUPUTONGLVKEGOUMAIJIPIAOQIANCHAXUNSOUSUODECISHU,DANBINGMEIYOUFAXIANJIPIAOJIAGEPUBIANSUIZHESOUSUOCISHUDAFUSHANGZHANGDEQINGKUANG,“YUESOUSUOYUEGUI”DESHUOFAYEBUGONGZIPO。

  JIPIAOJIAGESHANGZHANGDEQINGKUANGQUEYOUFASHENG,ZHUYAOFASHENGZAIGUOJIHANGXIANZHONG,RUBEIJINGDAOBUYINUOSIAILISIDEHANGXIAN,MEIYOUZHIFEIHANGBAN,LVKEZHINENGXUANZEZHUANJIYICIHUOLIANGCIQIANWANG,ERZHUANJIDIYEBUTONG,ZHUANJIYICIKECONGDALASI、NIUYUE、DUOHADENGDIZHUANJI,ZHUANJILIANGCIDEKEXUANFANGANJIUYUNNANSHIYIXUAN5LE,HANGBANJIAGEYUMEITANGHANGBANDEJIAGEBODONGDOUYOUGUANXI,YINCIBIANDONGBIJIAODA。

  RUFEIZHU12RIZHONGWUSOUSUOGAIHANGXIANZHUANJILIANGCIDEZUIDIJIAGEWEI4411YUAN,DAOLEWANSHANGJIUZHANGCHENG4606YUAN,BUGUOZHIZHUANJIYICIDEJIPIAOJIAGEQUEWENDINGZAI4695YUANBUBIAN,ERDAOLELINGCHENYOUJIANGWEI4411YUAN;XIECHENGWANG12RIZHONGWUCHAXUNGAIHANGXIANZHUANJILIANGCIDEJIAGEWEI4817YUAN,WANSHANGZHANGWEI4944YUAN,LINGCHENZHUANJILIANGCIDEJIAGEYOUZHANGLEXIE,GAOYUZHUANJIYICIDE4976YUAN。

  YUZHIXIANGDUIBI,XIECHENG12RIZAOSHANGGAIHANGXIANDEZUIDIJIAGEWEI4880YUAN(ZHUANJILIANGCI)HE4975YUAN(ZHUANJIYICI),ZHONGWUZAICISOUSUOSHIZHEIYIJIAGEJIANGDAOLE4817YUAN(ZHUANJILIANGCI)HE4909YUAN(ZHUANJIYICI)。

  JIPIAOBINGBUSHIYUEZAOMAIYUEBIANYI

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  SHANGWENYIJINGDUILINGCHENMAIJIPIAOZUIBIANYIDESHUOFAJINXINGLEFANBO,BUGUOYEYOULINGYIZHONGSHUOFASHI“ZAOSHANGMAIJIPIAOZUIBIANYI”,JUCHENGYOUXIEWANGZHANZAOSHANG“FANGPIAO”。BUGUO,ZAOSHANGDEJIAGEYEBINGFEISHIYITIANZHONGZUIDIDE,RU12RISOUSUOMUBIAORIBEIJINGZHIBUYINUOSIAILISIDEJIAGE,FEIZHUZAOSHANGDEJIAGESHI4606YUAN,DANQIYUSHIJIANYOU4411YUANDEDIJIAPIAO;XIECHENGZAOSHANGDEJIAGE4880YUAN,QIYUSHIHOUHUIYOU4817YUANDENGJIAGEDEJIPIAO。YINCI,ZAOSHANGJIPIAOZUIBIANYIDESHUOFAYEBUJUEDUI。

  GUONEIJIPIAOJIAGEGEPINGTAIJIHUXIANGTONG

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  ZAIGUOJIDUANTUHANGXIANZHONG,YIXIEPINGTAITIGONGZHUANJIFANGAN,HUIYOUGENGJIAYOUHUIDEJIAGE,BUGUOHAOSHIYEHUIZENGJIABUSHAO,ZHIFEIHANGXIANGEJIAZUIDIJIAGEYOUSUOCHABIE,DANFUDUYEDUOZAIJISHIYUANZUOYOU。RUBEIJINGZHISHOUER,MUBIAORIDEZHIFEIJIAGEZAI1106YUANDAO1156YUANBUDENG。

  BENBANTUPIANZHIZUO/WANGHUI

  JIEMI

  JIPIAOJIAGEBIANHUAWEISHAZHEIMEDA?

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  NEIME,WEISHENMEDAJIAGANJUEJIPIAOJIAGEBIANHUAZHEIMEDANI?ZHEIJIUXUYAOLEJIEDAJIAZAIWANGZHANKANDAODEJIPIAOSHIRUHEDINGJIADE。

  JIPIAODEXIAOSHOUJIAGESHIFEICHANGFUZADEDINGJIATIXI,DUOYUANQIESHISHIBIANHUA。JUYENEIRENSHIJIESHAOCHENG,JIPIAOJIAGEDEZHIDINGQUANZAIHANGKONGGONGSISHOUZHONG,QUANJIAPIAODEZHIDINGXUYAOTONGGUOWUJIABUMENDESHENHE,ERGEZHONGCANGWEIYEJIUSHIBUTONGZHEKOUDEJIPIAOYESHIHANGKONGGONGSIDEZHUANMENDEDINGJIABUMENGENJULISHIQINGKUANG、SHICHANGXUQIU、YUNLIDENGQINGKUANGZONGHEKAOLIANGERDECHU,RUYITIAOHUANGJINZHOUDEREMENHANGXIAN,DINGJIAZUIDICANGWEISHISHOUJIA6ZHEZUOYOUDEJIPIAO;BUGUOGAIJIAGEHUISHISHIBIANHUADIAOZHENG,BIRUGAI6ZHEJIPIAOXIAOSHOUQINGKUANGBUHAO,BEICHAXUNCISHUJIAOSHAO,NEIHANGKONGGONGSIHUIZAICIFANGCHUGENGDIJIAWEIDEPIAO,RU4ZHEZUOYOU,CHIXUGUANZHUSHICHANGZHUANGKUANG。

  NEIMEWOMENCONGOTA(ZAIXIANLVXING)WANGZHANMAIPIAOSHIKANDAODEJIAGESHIFOUJIUSHIHANGKONGGONGSIDESHISHIDINGJIA?DAANYESHIFOUDINGDE。JUJIESHAO,HANGKONGGONGSIFANGCHUDEJIPIAOHUITONGYIJINRUGDS(QUANQIUFENXIAOXITONG)ZHONG,MUQIANZHONGGUOZHIYOUYIGEGDS“ZHONGHANGXIN”,QUANQIUFANWEINEIHAIYOUDUOJIAGDS,TAMENDEZIYUANKEYIHUTONG。ERZHEIXIEOTAWANGZHANDEJIAGEDOUSHICONGGDSSHANG“BA”DE。ZAIXIAOFEIZHESOUSUOJIPIAOSHI,WANGZHANHUISHANGGDSHUOQUYIFENJIPIAOJIAGE,ZUIWEIGUANJIANDESHI,DANGXIAOFEIZHEQUEDINGGOUMAIJIPIAOXIADANSHI,OTAWANGZHANHUIZAICIYUGDSQUERENZUIXINPIAOJIA,BINGJIANGGAIJIAGEFANHUIJIXIAOFEIZHE,ZUOWEISHIJIZHIFUDEJIAGE。

  WEISHENMEXIAOFEIZHEYOUSHICHAXUNDAODEJIPIAOHEXIADANSHIDEJIAGEHUIBUYIYANG?ZHEILIDEGUANJIANSHI,OTAXUYAOLIANGCIYUFENXIAOXITONGQUERENJIPIAOJIAGE,ERQIZHONGGENGXINDESHIJIANCHA,JIUSHIXIAOFEIZHEKANDAOJIAGEDEBIANHUA。YIZHONGQINGKUANGSHIHANGKONGGONGSIZAIGDSSHANGGENGXINBUJISHI,ZAOCHENGXIAOFEIZHECHAXUNYUGOUMAISHIDEJIAGEBUYIZHI,LINGYIZHONGQINGKUANGSHI,XIAOFEIZHEXIADANJIAOWAN,ZAIZHEIQIJIAN,TEJIAPIAOYISHOUWANHUOBEIDIAOZHENG,JINSHENGJIAGEJIAOGAODECANGWEI。JUJIESHAO,YUEREMENDEHANGXIANHEHANGBAN,JIAGEBIANDONGYUEKUAI。DANGRAN,YECUNZAIXIAOFEIZHEXIADANSHIDEJIAGEDIYUSOUSUOSHIDEJIAGEDEQINGKUANG,CIQIANYECENGYOUBAODAO。

  ZAIWANGXIAOSHANBAOYUANTONGHANGBANZIJIMAIDEJIAGEBIJIAOGAOZHIHOU,FEIZHUYECENGJICHUJIESHI:HANGBANBIANJIAWANGWANGRONGYIBEIDAZHONGWUJIEWEIDASHUJUSHASHU,SHIJISHANGHANGBANJIAGEBIANDONGTONGCHANGYOULIANGZHONGYUANYINZAOCHENG:YISHIHANGSIBIANJIADAOZHIDE,SUOWEIBIANJIASHIHANGSIDEZUOWEIKUCUNHEYUNJIABIANHUADAOZHIDEJIAGEBODONG,BULUNZAIHANGSIGUANWANG、PINGTAIHUODAILIJIGOUSOUSUOGOUPIAOJUNCUNZAIZHEIZHONGQINGKUANG,JIAGEKENENGBIANGAO,YEKENENGBIANDI。YOUQIDUIYUGUOJIHANGBAN,YOUYUQUANQIULVKEJUNZAISOUSUOYUDING,CANGWEIHEJIAGEBIANHUAGENGWEIPINFAN,GUGENGYIFASHENGBIANJIA;ERSHIYOUYUSOUSUOHUANCUNZAOCHENGDE,YONGHUSHUAXINSOUSUOTONGCHANGBIANKEXIAOCHUZHEIYIQINGKUANG。

  GUANDIAN

  JIPIAO“DASHUJUSHASHU”SHUOFAZAOBEIPIYAO

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  “ZHEIXIEGDSDEXINXIDOUSHIMIANXIANGQUANSHIJIEDE,DIJIAPIAODESHULIANGSHIYOUXIANDE,YEBUSHIZHANGQIDE,CUNZAIYIZHONGKENENGJIUSHIZAINIXIADANDESHIHOUBIERENYIJINGXIADANLE,QIANGXIANBEISUODINGLE,NEIMENIKANDAODEJIAGEJIUSHANGZHANGLE;DANBIERENKENENGMEIZHIFUCHENGGONG,GUOLEYIHUIERZHEIZHANGPIAOYOUHUILAILE,NEIKENENGNIMAIWANGAOJIAPIAOHOUYOUFAXIANLEDIJIAPIAO,ZHEIXIEDOUSHIKENENGDE。”TAHAIBIAOSHI,“JIPIAODAILIFEI、YONGJINDENGDOUSHIHANGSIZHANGWODE,BINGBUSHINIBAYIZHANGPIAOMAIHENGUI,JIUKEYIZHUANDAOZHEIGECHAJIA。”

  CAIJINGGUANCHA

  WEISHENMEDAJIAHUIXINOTAWANGZHAN“DASHUJUSHASHU”?

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  BENBANWEN/BENBAOJIZHE WENJING GONGTU/SHIJUEZHONGGUO

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